There is no doubt that this is the day of changing the world: February 24th, the Ukrainian war broke out. The war is still brutal, and there are constant people fall in the blood. Seeing a lot of Western leaders say this is the most dark day after World War II. may be. But more accurately, this is the second time, the first time is the 1998 air strikes, opened the war’s magic box.
Now the most critical, not war, war results have no suspense, but consequences, the consequences are very serious, affecting the world, and we also stay away from the battlefield.
1, the global stock market crashed.
On February 24th, there are two places where global vibration, one is the Ukrainian battlefield, and the real gun is dry; the other is the global stock market, and the real gold is losses.
The war has begun, the global stock market has fallen, and A shares fall into a dog. The Japanese shares are miserable than dogs, and the German stock market is not tolerated. The Russian RTS index, once a decline, more than 50%, that is, all stocks, full line waist; hands in wealth, half of zero.
But the stock market is also the most ubiquitous place. On February 24th, Nasdaq opened, a big drop of 3.45%; but when closed, it rose 3.34%. Russian stock is crying, US stocks are laughing. If you must explain it, it is the stock market: Buy on the Sound of Cannons, Sell on the Sound of Trumpet.
2, the price of international oil prices has skyrocketed.
It’s a heart vibrant. Anyway, after 7 years and a half, the international oil price broke through 100 US dollars / barrel. Gold is also sold crazy, and a lot of gold shares have been closed, and the international gold price is also full of rising.
This may also be one of Putin’s most cost-effective chips.
One of them, because he has at least two, one is a nuclear weapon, he eats the West, I don’t dare to shoot troops, directly and Russian war, because Russian nuclear weapons, not a trouble; the other is oil, war is a big Flower, Western sanctions Russia will also lose, but oil prices are skyrocketing.
The most memorable is the petroleum consumption. Seeing Americans lamented: this war, Russia won more land, Americans have got higher oil prices.
If the war continues, commodity prices will rise. This year’s price is a bit hanging.
3, not only humanitarian disaster.
Let people sigh.
Ukraine, how rich land, European granary. I want to be in the Soviet Union, Ukraine is second only to Russia, but the Soviet Union disintegrates, the country splits, the mountain river is broken, the war is not only, and now, who is the fault?
But the Ukrainian people are crying in the cold wind.
The Prime Minister of Austria revealed that after the war broke out, Ukraine President Ze Lingski and his call, told him: “I don’t know how long my country can have.”
Refugees are from all directions, escaping Ukraine. See some predictions, this war may lead to 50,000 people, 5 million people become refugees.
A large number of refugees will poured into Russia, more will flood into the EU.
In a short period of time, this will be a humanitarian crisis. The EU will carry heavy burdens; long-term look, may even lead to changes in population layouts, a large number of Ukrainian refugees will provide fertile soil for European populism and exporters, thereby changing Europe Political.
4, Russia will bite the teeth.
The West will not serve, and they don’t dare to take troops. But the rest of the choice, in addition to condemning Russia, is sanctions.
Although Russia has been sancted with Russia more than 100 times, now, Russia will experience the most severe history. Russia is all freeze in the Western assets, and Russia will even be expelled out of the international financial system …
After the war broke out, Putin met with the business community, also admitted to all potential risks, “all our people, including you, to understand the world we live, use this or such a way, for the current limit and sanctions Policy is ready “.
On the side of the Western countries that account for more than half of the world GDP, one side is only 2% of Russia, the economic power is disparied, and Russia will have the pressure of the Taishan tablet top.
In the next few years, Russia will have to bite tightness. It has been supported, and Russia will not be extremely Thai; it is not in the past, that is, the new crisis, even a bigger crisis.
5. More fierce consumption of warning throat.
Will Russia stay?
Certainly not. This will be more intense, and the Western allies, Russia is not lacking. Of course, more importantly, Russia who bite the teeth, and does not lack the counter-means.
Even if the Western civil aviation flying over the Russian airspace, it will completely disturb the entire civil aviation market; not mention, Russia, and natural gas and oil needed in Europe.
This will be a fight, European politics is also complex, do not rule out the strengths and leaders of the pro, Russia will seize the opportunity to divide the contradiction between Europe and the US Europe.
Russia’s struggle strategy will be ruthless. This is a long-term cut-threatening battle, once Russia feels no longer, what will the world?
6, completely rewrite European geopolitics.
Originally, Ukraine has already went to the West and applying for joining NATO and EU. But now, with the Russian tanks, the process is abrupt.
Is this the last change of the border line in Europe? I think no one will think so really.
To know, Russia has the largest conventional army in Europe and can be put into use at any time. In terms of fear, Eastern European Member States, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania may require a large number of NATO units to have a territory.
Not even exclude, Finland and Sweden demand to join NATO.
That means that the Russian army and the NATO military will contact more closely. There is a lack of buffer, this world is safer, or is it more dangerous?
7, the West has to adjust again.
This may be our most speechless place.
Once again, the United States and the West hope to concentrate on China and will transfer more and more resources to Asia; once again being smashed, because the biggest threat is not China.
Ukraine war, the United States will have to carry out new strategic adjustments, send more military to Europe, concentrate more resource sanctions Russia. Just as the 911 incident, the United States had to make strategic adjustments, because the most important enemy is not China, nor Russia, but terrorism.
In the short term, the West’s number one enemy is definitely Russia. Of course, we are not too optimistic, Western politicians have changed, nor to rule out some kind of tacit understanding with Russia, and sacrificed Ukraine, and then turned around to deal with the Oriental big country.
8, the dramatic changes in Western mentality.
The mentality must have dramatic changes.
In the past, NATO will step by step, it is necessary to feel. Bulkinsky threatened in the “Equity”: “A expanded and democratic Europe must be a historical process that is not at all, and should not be subject to the geographical limitations of politics … For the United States, Russia It is too weak, not equipped with partners; but if it is just a patient in the United States, Russia is too strong. “But what? During decades, the retreat of Russia, did not have a card according to the normal execution, simply chose the war. In Putin’s words, Russia has no choice but must defend their safety.
Punch a big country to the serious consequences of Jedi, other countries must carefully.
The world saw the pain in the Western countries. Eastern European national mentality changes, some cautious, some are more fear of Russia .
9, the contradiction of Europe and the United States will eventually break out.
It seems that it is a piece of iron plate, but it will definitely break the contradiction.
In fact, there is a subtle difference in this Ukrainian war. France and Germany are really don’t want to fight, Marklon is even horses, and the diploma has ran again. Mei Ying seems to be hit, but how much there is also an area of view of fire, encourages Ukraine place.
Among them, the United Kingdom is even more embarrassed. Deutue is worried, the Ukrainian war is fighting, the oil price is high, the oil is good, and the European is in a hurry, London will be the preferred, UK, the biggest winner.
But over time, Meiying can continue to sing high-profile, continue to wavily wavy, but French must consider their own safety, and economic interests. Russia is not the oil-free lamp, and it will not forget to give some nutrients in time to Europe and America.
You see, in the end, the United States has fierce and disagreement on the Russian issue, and Russia ushered in the aircraft.
10. The world will see China’s rare and precious.
This world, is there a big country that is more complied with international rules than China? Is there a big country than China more sovereignty? Is there a big country that is more cherished than China?
Answer, just two words: no!
Yesterday, the Foreign Ministry, the reporter meeting, Hua Chunying said very well: how to respect the national sovereignty and the territorial integrity Permanent members of the Council.
This is worth someone.
For the West, China does not output the revolution, two do not output hunger and poor, three do not toss you, what else is said.
For the world, China strives to develop its own economy, launching “a belt all the way” initiative, put forward the global development concept, is really a responsible big country.
China is a super model student. One of another fact will make the world getting clearer and clearly. Of course, there are so many painful lessons in the world, and China needs more cool, more awake, don’t be proud, don’t toss.
After all, the victory of the war will never be forever. Over time, the state launched and won the behavior of the wrong war, often beat itself.
Post time: Feb-25-2022